Toby Samuel vs Ilia Simakin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Toby Samuel is slightly behind Ilia Simakin in second serve performance, winning 43.56% of these points compared to Simakin's 45.72%. Can this marginal edge help Simakin secure a victory?
• Regarding return games, Samuel excels by winning 47.19% of his opponent’s second serve points, outstripping Simakin’s 43.43%. Could this possibly turn the match in Samuel’s favor?
• Samuel also leads in first serve returns, capturing 27.69% of points compared to Simakin’s 22.79%; does this give Samuel a decisive advantage?
• In crucial moments, Simakin shows stronger resilience by saving 61.81% of breakpoints, surpassing Samuel's 48.22%, a critical factor in tight matches.
• Overall, Samuel boasts a slightly better match-win rate of 74.60% over the past year compared to Simakin’s 68.12%, indicating a more successful season.
• Both players have their best performances on hard courts, with a win rate of 77% each, suggesting surface conditions may play a minor role.
• Samuel has been dominant at the Futures/Satellites level, winning an impressive 80% of matches, while Simakin has a 66.67% win record in the more competitive Challengers and ITF circuits.
• When considering opponent quality, Simakin has faced slightly tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 351.51 compared to Samuel's 373.46.
• In deciding sets, Simakin again shows a slight edge with a 47% win rate, against Samuel's 42%, highlighting more consistent performance under pressure.
• Samuel has a higher breakpoint conversion rate of 28.49%, compared to 20.88% for Simakin, which could be pivotal in generating breaks and momentum shifts.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

Both players exhibit strong capabilities on hard courts, their preferred surface, where they possess identical win records. However, the subtle differences in their recent performance highlight significant competitive dynamics.

Toby Samuel has shown impressive return game and breakpoint conversion statistics, suggesting he could exploit opportunities to break Ilia Simakin's serve effectively.

Despite Toby's return strength, Ilia Simakin's ability to save breakpoints and his experience against higher-ranked opponents provide him with a slight advantage in handling high-pressure situations.

In conclusion, while the match promises to be fiercely competitive, Simakin's consistent pressure performance and experience against tougher opponents make him the likely victor in this upcoming encounter.